Safe Real Interest Rates and Fed Policy

November 10, 2016

Low interest rates are likely to be the norm over the next two to three years, President James Bullard told those attending Commerce Bank’s annual economic breakfast in St. Louis. He also explained the St. Louis Fed's new regime-based approach to near-term U.S. macroeconomic and monetary policy projections. In doing so, he deconstructed an equation to show that an increase of 25 basis points (one-quarter of a percent) in the federal funds rate target over the forecast horizon would be appropriate monetary policy for the current macroeconomic "regime."

Presentation (pdf) | Press Release

James Bullard

James Bullard
President and Chief Executive Officer

Media requests
Laura Girresch

Executive Assistant to the President
Margo Gundlach

Senior Vice President and Chief of Staff to the President
Cletus C. Coughlin

Senior Economist and Special Assistant to the President
Riccardo DiCecio


"Rationally, let it be said in a whisper, experience is certainly worth more than theory."
Amerigo Vespucci

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