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  • July 20, 2018

    Assessing the Risk of Yield Curve Inversion: An Update

    In Glasgow, Ky., St. Louis Fed President James Bullard talked about the possibility that the yield curve would invert, which he first discussed in a speech on Dec. 1, 2017. “Since then, events have transpired that have flattened the yield curve further, and imminent yield curve inversion in the U.S. has become a real possibility,” he said.
    Presentation (pdf) | Press Release | Video
    Audience Q&A (audio) | Photos | Transcript of Media Q&A (pdf)

  • 2018:Q2

    Reflections on Crisis to Recovery

    James Bullard provides reflections on his first 10 years as St. Louis Fed president and on the financial crisis, Great Recession and subsequent recovery. He highlights some of his key themes and monetary policy positions over that period.
    Article

Publications & Podcasts

  • Warehouse workers

    Forecasters See Solid U.S. GDP Growth during Rest of 2018

    Third Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    Buoyed by consumption and business fixed investments, U.S. real GDP growth is expected to average close to 3 percent during the second half of 2018, according to professional forecasters.


  • automated robots

    60% of District's Jobs Could Face Automation in the Next 20 Years

    Third Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    Jobs in the St. Louis Fed’s District face a higher risk of automation than do jobs nation-wide. Smaller MSAs in the District will face bigger impact.


  • Treasury bonds image

    Rising Rates Impact Borrowing Costs for the U.S. Government, Too

    Third Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    The Fed has been raising short-term rates. This lifts borrowing costs for everyone, including the U.S. government, but the effect on longer-term Treasury rates is less predictable.


  • Women in Economics: Fenaba Addo

    Fenaba Addo shares what it was like for her to be the only black woman in most of her economics courses in the latest Women in Economics podcast.

  • Medicaid Can Increase Saving by Distressed Households

    Issue-20 2018 | In the Balance

    After Medicaid eligibility, financially stressed families chose to save more from tax refunds, but low-income families that weren’t as financially stressed didn’t make major changes to saving choices.


  • Young CEO and farmer in wheat field

    CEO Succession at Rural Banks

    Second Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    New CEOs at rural banks are younger than their urban peers, a marked change from 1997 to 2008.


  • Hispanic waitress at counter

    Hispanics and Their Contribution to America’s Human Capital

    Second Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    Despite making gains in higher-skill occupations, Hispanics are more likely to end up in lower-skill jobs. This disparity may be due to Hispanics lagging behind their non-Hispanic peers in education.


  • James Bullard

    Reflections on Crisis to Recovery

    Second Quarter 2018 | Regional Economist

    James Bullard reflects on his first 10 years as St. Louis Fed president and highlights some of his key themes and monetary policy positions over that period.