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Ghosts and Forecasts

January 16, 2015

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard evaluated FOMC forecasts for 2014 and discussed implications for monetary policy in 2015. During an event in Chicago, he noted that the FOMC has been surprised in the same way two years in a row regarding its forecasts. He said that the nature of the surprise pulls the FOMC in two different directions on monetary policy.

Presentation (pdf) | Press Release