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Research Interests
macroeconomics, labor economics, fiscal and monetary policySelected Work
“Job Applications and Labor Market Flows”
with Kurt See and Shu Lin Wee
Review of Economic Studies, June 2024, p. 1-59
Related working paper (PDF)
“Heterogeneous Responses to Job Mobility Shocks in a HANK Model with a Frictional Labor Market”
with Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan, and Kurt See
AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2024, Vol. 114, p. 561-66
Related working paper (PDF)
“Labor Market Responses to Unemployment Insurance: The Role of Heterogeneity”
with Kurt See
American Economic Journal-Macroeconomics, July 2023, Vol. 15, No. 3, pp. 388-430
Related working paper (PDF)
“Labor Market Policies During an Epidemic”
with Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan, and Kurt See
Journal of Public Economics, February 2021, Vol. Volume 194, 104348, pp. 104348
Related working paper (PDF)
"What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses?”
with Anmol Bhandari, Ellen R. McGrattan, and Kurt See
American Economic Review: Insights, December 2020, Vol. 4, No. 2, 4, pp. 443-58
Related working paper (PDF)
Appendix file (PDF)
“Compensation Patterns of Overemployed Workers”
with Carlos Garriga
On the Economy, December 18, 2023
“Overemployed Workers? Trends on Multiple Job Holders”
with Carlos Garriga
On the Economy, November 6, 2023
“Labor Market Tightness after the COVID-19 Recession: Differences across Industries”
with Tran Khanh Ngan
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, November 6, 2023
“Deconstructing Hours Worked: How Did Recent Recessions Differ? ”
with Tran Khanh Ngan
On the Economy, August 1, 2023
“A Hard or Soft Landing? The Answer May Lie in the Beveridge Curve”
with Tran Khanh Ngan
On the Economy, July 13, 2023
“Are Higher Child Care Wages Affecting the Labor Supply? ”
On the Economy, July 11, 2023
“The Evolution of Job Applications and Job-Finding Rates since the 1980s”
with Kurt See and Shu Lin Wee
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2023, No. 4
“The Allocation of Immigrant Talent Across Countries: Earnings Gaps”
with Fernando Leibovici and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2023, No. 2
“The Allocation of Immigrant Talent in the United States”
with Fernando Leibovici and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2022, No. 23
“Hires and Separations During the COVID-19 Crisis by Firm Size”
with Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2022, No. 8
“The Great Resignation vs. The Great Reallocation: Industry-Level Evidence”
with Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2022, No. 4
“Which Earnings Groups Have Been Most Affected by the COVID-19 Crisis?”
with Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2020, No. 37
“Unemployment Insurance and Vulnerable Households During the COVID-19 Pandemic”
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2020, No. 33
“Unintended Consequences of Coronavirus-Related Unemployment Insurance Tax Laws”
with Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2020, No. 21
“The Effects of COVID-19 on Unemployment Insurance Claims”
with Aaron Amburgey
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2020, No. 9
“The Implications of Labor Market Heterogeneity on Unemployment Insurance Design” (PDF)
with Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2024-026B, September 2024
“Mismatch Unemployment During COVID-19 and the Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages” (PDF)
with Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2024-025B, September 2024
“The Allocation of Immigrant Talent: Macroeconomic Implications for the U.S. and Across Countries” (PDF)
with Fernando Leibovici and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-004E, September 2024
“Dissecting the Great Retirement Boom” (PDF)
with Miguel Faria e Castro and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2024-017B, July 2024
“Heterogeneous Responses to Job Mobility Shocks in a HANK Model with a Frictional Labor Market” (PDF)
with Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan, and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2024-001B, January 2024
“Spousal Labor Supply Response to Job Displacement and Implications for Optimal Transfers” (PDF)
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2019-020E, January 2024
“Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy” (PDF)
with Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan, and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2022-016C, December 2023
“Uncovering the Differences among Displaced Workers: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records” (PDF)
with Youngmin Park, Thomas Pugh, and Kurt See
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2023-022B, October 2023
Serdar Birinci is an economic policy advisor in the Research division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, which he joined in August 2019. His research focuses on topics in macroeconomics and labor economics such as unemployment, job search, fiscal and monetary policy, immigration, and entrepreneurship. He received a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Minnesota, where he taught macroeconomics and economic development and growth. He received a master’s degree in economics from Bogazici University and an undergraduate degree in industrial engineering from Istanbul Technical University in Turkey. He has published his research in journals such as Review of Economic Studies, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Review: Insights, and Journal of Public Economics. Birinci has also discussed his research on media outlets such as CNN, Barron’s, and S&P Global.
