Kathryn Bokun is a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Most counties haven't reached hospital bed capacity during COVID-19 peaks through June 30. However, about a quarter of counties are at risk of overcapacity if a future surge occurs.
The consensus of professional forecasters is that real GDP growth will dip below 2% in 2020.
U.S. economic growth in the first quarter of 2019 surprised forecasters.
U.S. distillers face retaliatory tariffs abroad, but tourism related to whiskey remains a bright spot.