Inflation & Deflation

Inflation & Deflation

  • st louis fed price pressures measure

    What Will Inflation Be over the Next Year?

    Tuesday, October 04, 2016

    The St. Louis Fed’s Price Pressures Measure, which predicts inflation over the next 12 months, shows a 9 percent chance of inflation above 2.5 percent.

  • st louis fed economic news index

    Real GDP Projected at 3.6% Annual Rate in Third Quarter

    Monday, September 05, 2016

    The St. Louis Fed Economic News Index, updated weekly, shows notably stronger real GDP growth in the third quarter than the second quarter rate of 1.1 percent.

  • inflation surveys and the fomc

    Consumer Surveys, Inflation Expectations and the FOMC

    Tuesday, August 30, 2016

    The FOMC seems to be paying attention to consumer surveys about inflation expectations. But how much do consumers know about inflation?

  • bullard

    The St. Louis Fed's New Approach to Near-Term Projections

    Thursday, August 25, 2016

    President James Bullard discusses the thinking behind the St. Louis Fed’s new approach to near-term projections for the U.S. macroeconomy and for the federal funds rate. He also explains how the new approach differs from the old one.

  • GovernmentSpending

    How Does Government Spending Affect Inflation?

    Tuesday, May 10, 2016

    Growth of the U.S. economy has been anemic. Would more government spending help boost it?

  • gas price cycling in the midwest

    Why Do Gas Prices Cycle in the Midwest?

    Thursday, May 05, 2016

    Gas prices in many Midwestern cities jump, descend, then jump again. And why does this seem to happen on certain days?

  • best day to buy gas

    When Should You Buy Gas?

    Tuesday, May 03, 2016

    If the St. Louis market is any indication, buying gas on a certain day of the week could save $60 per year.

  • inflation expectations and oil prices

    A Follow-Up to Oil Prices and Inflation Expectations

    Monday, March 07, 2016

    A previous blog post concluded that oil would have to fall to $0 by mid-2019 to validate current breakeven inflation expectations. What happens when assuming smaller nonenergy CPI growth rates?

  • Oil prices

    What Future Oil Price Is Consistent with Current Inflation Expectations?

    Tuesday, February 23, 2016

    The price of oil futures and the price of oil implied by breakeven inflation expectations travel very different paths.

  • inflation expectations and fed credibility

    Comments on the FOMC's Amendments to Its Statement on Longer-Run Goals

    Tuesday, February 16, 2016

    St. Louis Fed President James Bullard discusses why he recently dissented on the proposed amendments to the FOMC’s statement on longer-run goals.


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