Monday, September 26, 2016
Some said increased volatility around the most recent recession was a sign the Great Moderation was over. But was this just a temporary blip instead?
Monday, September 05, 2016
The St. Louis Fed Economic News Index, updated weekly, shows notably stronger real GDP growth in the third quarter than the second quarter rate of 1.1 percent.
Thursday, August 25, 2016
President James Bullard discusses the thinking behind the St. Louis Fed’s new approach to near-term projections for the U.S. macroeconomy and for the federal funds rate. He also explains how the new approach differs from the old one.
Wednesday, August 24, 2016
The St. Louis Fed’s Economic News Index predicts that third-quarter real GDP growth will be about 1 percentage point higher than the estimate from professional forecaster consensus.
Thursday, August 04, 2016
Fixed investment is often considered an indicator of whether a recession is looming. What is it signaling now?
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data are among the most important economic data available for measuring economic growth, but measuring the output of a large, dynamic economy is a complex task. In this Economic Lowdown podcast, hear what GDP measures, how it is calculated, how it is useful in determining whether and how quickly the economy is growing, and how GDP can be used as indicator of standard of living.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard noted that, although the performance of the economy is getting closer to normal, monetary policy remains at emergency settings, with the near-zero policy rate. As long as incoming data are satisfactory, he would be supportive of starting to normalize monetary policy, he said.