Economic Growth

Economic Growth

  • st louis fed economic news index

    Real GDP Growth Projected at 3.7% Annual Rate in Q4

    Monday, November 21, 2016

    Real GDP growth is projected to remain brisk in the fourth quarter, according to the St. Louis Fed’s Economic News Index.

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  • great moderation

    Was the Great Moderation Simply on Vacation?

    Monday, September 26, 2016

    Some said increased volatility around the most recent recession was a sign the Great Moderation was over. But was this just a temporary blip instead?

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  • st louis fed economic news index

    Real GDP Projected at 3.6% Annual Rate in Third Quarter

    Monday, September 05, 2016

    The St. Louis Fed Economic News Index, updated weekly, shows notably stronger real GDP growth in the third quarter than the second quarter rate of 1.1 percent.

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  • bullard

    The St. Louis Fed's New Approach to Near-Term Projections

    Thursday, August 25, 2016

    President James Bullard discusses the thinking behind the St. Louis Fed’s new approach to near-term projections for the U.S. macroeconomy and for the federal funds rate. He also explains how the new approach differs from the old one.

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  • st louis fed economic news index

    St. Louis Fed Index Forecasts Bounce Back in Real GDP Growth

    Wednesday, August 24, 2016

    The St. Louis Fed’s Economic News Index predicts that third-quarter real GDP growth will be about 1 percentage point higher than the estimate from professional forecaster consensus.

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  • Homebuying

    Are Key Investment Indicators Signaling a Recession?

    Thursday, August 04, 2016

    Fixed investment is often considered an indicator of whether a recession is looming. What is it signaling now?

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  • Econ Lowdown Podcasts and Videos icon

    Gross Domestic Product - The Economic Lowdown Podcast Series, Episode 13

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data are among the most important economic data available for measuring economic growth, but measuring the output of a large, dynamic economy is a complex task. In this Economic Lowdown podcast, hear what GDP measures, how it is calculated, how it is useful in determining whether and how quickly the economy is growing, and how GDP can be used as indicator of standard of living.

    Listen to the podcast.


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  • Real Gross Domestic Product

    A Guide to the National Income and Product Accounts of the United States (NIPA).


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  • Optimal Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound

    St. Louis Fed President James Bullard noted that, although the performance of the economy is getting closer to normal, monetary policy remains at emergency settings, with the near-zero policy rate. As long as incoming data are satisfactory, he would be supportive of starting to normalize monetary policy, he said.


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