Research Interests
macroeconomics, labor economics, inequality, search, human capitalSelected Work
“Subjective Earnings Risk” (PDF)
with Andrew Caplin, Eungik Lee, Søren Leth-Petersen, and Johan Saeverud
The Review of Economic Studies, corrected proof, July 2026
Related working paper (PDF); Appendix (PDF)
“Time Averaging Meets Heckman, Lochner, and Taber and Ben-Porath”
with Sebastian Graves, Lars Ljungqvist, and Thomas J. Sargent
Review of Economic Dynamics, January 2026, Vol. 59, 101309
Related working paper (PDF)
“The Alpha Beta Gamma of the Labor Market”
with Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
Journal of Monetary Economics, March 2025, Vol. 150, 103695
Related working paper (PDF)
“Pandemic Recession: L- or V-Shaped?”
with Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, May 2020, Vol. 40, No. 1
“How Does the College Premium Change over a Career?”
On the Economy, August 20, 2026
“The Evolution of Income Differences over the Life Cycle”
On the Economy, January 30, 2026
“Breakeven Employment Growth: A Simple but Useful Benchmark”
with Alexander Bick
On the Economy, April 15, 2025
“Examining Recent Patterns in Residential Building Permits”
with Kevin Bloodworth II
On the Economy, November 18, 2024
“Assets and Debt across Generations”
with Kevin Bloodworth II
On the Economy, May 24, 2024
“Real Wage Growth at the Micro Level”
with Elisabeth Harding
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Second Quarter 2024
“By the Generations: Location Patterns of Different Cohorts”
with Kevin Bloodworth
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2024, No. 4
“Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They?”
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, First Quarter 2023
“Understanding the Generational Gaps in Homeownership”
with Kevin Bloodworth
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2023, No. 24
“Generational Gaps in Income and Homeownership”
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2023, No. 15
“Neighborhood Types and Intergenerational Mobility”
with Elisabeth Harding
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2022, No. 21
“Neighborhood Types and Demographics”
with Elisabeth Harding
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2022, No. 12
“Worker Types, Job Displacement, and Duration Dependence”
with Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2021, No. 13
“Classifying Worker Types in the U.S. Labor Market”
with Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, 2021, No. 10
“Firm-Worker Matches: Experience or Inspection Goods?” (PDF)
with Guido Menzio and Giovanni M. Topa
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2026-009A, May 2026
“Real Wage Growth at the Micro Level” (PDF)
with Elisabeth Harding
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2023-024B, July 2023
“The Impact of Racial Segregation on College Attainment in Spatial Equilibrium” (PDF)
with Julian Kozlowski and Hannah Rubinton
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2022-036E, July 2023
“Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They?” (PDF)
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2022-027A, September 2022
“The Alpha Beta Gamma of the Labor Market” (PDF)
with Guido Menzio and David Wiczer
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-003E, October 2024
“Firms as Learning Environments: Implications for Earnings Dynamics and Job Search” (PDF)
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-036D, July 2026
Victoria Gregory is an economist in the Research division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, which she joined in May 2020. Her research interests are in macroeconomics and labor economics, including job search, subjective labor market expectations, human capital, and inequality. Much of her work combines structural modeling, detailed administrative data, and custom-designed surveys to understand these topics.
She received her Ph.D. in economics and B.A. in economics and mathematics from New York University in 2020. Prior to graduate school, she worked as a research associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. During her time at the St. Louis Fed, she has contributed to outlets such as the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, On the Economy blog, and the Timely Topics podcast. Gregory has also discussed her research with media outlets such as Bloomberg, Harper’s, and MNI.