Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria is an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Her research focuses on international macroeconomics and on search and matching models of the labor and marriage market. She joined the St. Louis Fed in 2014. Read more about the author and her research.
The correlation between changes in oil prices and equity returns rose sharply when the Fed’s policy rate became zero in 2008. What caused this change?
The share of gross domestic product going to workers in the form of labor income can help economists understand a developing country’s economic growth. But how you measure labor share can be tricky.
A closer look at first-time homebuyers in the Eighth District finds that they are younger and less creditworthy than homebuyers nationally.
See why oil-rich countries sometimes default on their sovereign debt. (It helps if they can still sell oil on international markets.)
After declining for almost eight years, yields on U.S. Treasuries turned upward in the second half of 2016. Several domestic and international factors have led to a decrease in demand for these bonds.
Some believe the decline is due to discouraged workers' dropping out of the labor force. A review of national and District statistics, however, suggests that demographic changes—such as aging workers and adults spending more years in college—can explain this trend.
There are at least two main ways to measure "the informal sector" of an economy, both of which entail difficulties. The effort is needed, however, because the underground economy accounts for about 13 percent of GDP in developed countries and almost three times that in developing countries.
In many ways, the European debt crisis is reminiscent of Latin America's experience in the 1980s, characterized by a period of high growth interrupted by an external shock. But there are some notable differences.