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Economic Data

How to Create Charts and Graphs | Working with Data | Data Series


How to Create Charts and Graphs

FRED® is a database of over 800 U.S. economic time series. The current categories contained in FRED are:

  • Business/Fiscal
  • Commercial Banking
  • Consumer Price Indexes (CPI)
  • Employment and Population
  • Exchange Rate, Balance of Payments, and Trade Data
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Components
  • Interest Rates
  • Monetary Aggregates
  • Producer Price Indexes (PPI)
  • Regional, including Employment and Banking Data
  • Reserves
  • U.S. Financial Data

FRED also allows you to download data in Microsoft Excel and text formats and view charts of data series. How to download data from FRED (664kb PDF)

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Working With Data

Why use economic data? | What to include

Why Use Economic Data in Your Presentation?

To support your policy argument | To refute your colleague's policy argument

To support your policy argument.

Ask yourself the following four questions:

1. What is the current state of the economy? Then look at:

    • measures of inflation
    • measures of output, demand and employment
    • financial markets

FOMC Minutes, Dec. 13, 2005

“The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that the economy continued to expand at a solid rate in the fourth quarter. Industrial production rebounded, and employment growth appeared to have recovered smartly from the depressing effects of recent hurricanes.”

“Core consumer price inflation remained subdued, even though some of the increase in energy costs had apparently passed through to prices of final goods and services.”

2. What has been the effect of recent policy? Then look:

    • at interest-sensitive sectors
    • for evidence of bottoming-out or recovery
    • for evidence of inflationary pressures

FOMC Minutes, Dec. 13, 2005

“Market participants widely anticipated the Committee's decision at its November meeting, and the policy announcement evoked little reaction in financial markets.”

“Over the intermeeting period, investors marked up slightly their expectations for the path of monetary policy in light of stronger-than-expected data on spending and production.”

3. What is the outlook for the economy? Then look at:

    • inflation
    • output and employment

FOMC Minutes, Dec. 13, 2005

“The staff forecast prepared for this meeting suggested that growth of economic activity would slow from this year's pace, but remain solid, with output staying near the economy's potential over the next two years.”

“Both overall and core consumer price inflation were projected to move higher in the first half of next year, reflecting the effects of higher energy prices, but then to trend lower as those effects ebb.”

4. What can we learn from history?

Similarities between the past and today's:

    • economy
    • monetary policy

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To refute your colleague's policy argument.

You may either counter an argument with a different:

  • data series or
  • interpretation of the data

    FOMC Minutes, Dec. 13, 2005

    “Meeting participants discussed tentative signs that activity was beginning to slow in the housing sector. Reports from contacts in many parts of the country suggested somewhat less ebullient market conditions, and measures of confidence of homebuyers and builders had fallen back noticeably.”

    “Business investment spending had accelerated some since midyear. In part, the pickup may have reflected an increase in business confidence as the economy proved resilient in the face of this year's substantial adverse shocks.”

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What Data Must Be Included in Your Presentation?

Key points

Before you get started, remember these key points:

  • There is no magic list of economic indicators!
  • For ideas, look at the recent FOMC minutes for commonly cited data.
  • Be prepared to answer questions regarding any indicator you mention, as well as any table or graph you show.
  • Know what is causing a rise or fall in an indicator.
  • Give some thought about how best to present the data to make your point.
  • If you don't understand it, do not present it!
  • Make graphs user friendly.
  • Do not overwhelm the judges.
  • Data should support your point not be the point.

Some important data series to examine and analyze

Now that we have laid the groundwork, here few of the major economic indicators you should take a look at:

inflation output demand
employment foreign sector financial markets
interest rate sensitive data inflationary pressures inflation expectations
economic growth federal funds rate (FOMC Policy)

Inflation Data

  • The most frequently used measures of inflation are the:
    • Consumer Price Index (CPI)
    - An index number that measures the average change in the prices of a basket of goods and services bought by a typical urban household.
    • Personal Consumption Expenditures Deflator (PCE Deflator)

    - An index number that measures the average change in the prices of a basket of goods and services Based on basket of goods and services purchased by the typical consumer (individuals and non-profits).

    • Gross Domestic Product Deflator (GDP Deflator)

    - An index that measures the average change in prices of all goods and services produced by the domestic economy.

    • Producer Price Index (PPI)

    - An index that measures the average change in the selling prices received by domestic producers for all finished goods.

    Comparison of Inflation Measures
 
CPI
PCE Deflator
GDP Deflator
PPI
Frequency
Monthly
Monthly
Quarterly
Monthly
Weights
Fixed
Chain
Chain
Fixed
Core
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Other
Most cited
FOMC's Favorite
Broadest
Only Goods
  • The measures of core inflation are:
    • CPI excluding food and energy
    • PCE price index excluding food and energy—the PCE price index is favored by the FOMC.
    "While actual CPI inflation has picked up this year, this rise has not been mirrored uniformly in other broad price measures. For example, there has been little, if any, acceleration in the index of core personal consumption expenditure prices, which we consider to be a more reliable measure of inflation." Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, July 18, 2001.

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Output Data

GDP

Industrial Production

What is GDP?

GDP is the broadest measure of output of the domestic economy.

Nominal GDP equals the dollar value of output.

Real GDP is the measure of volume of output.

The data is published quarterly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

How do we measure GDP?

GDP
Measurement

Formula

What items are contained in each category

Nominal GDP in 2001 (billions)

1. Personal Consumption Expenditures(C)

+ 2. Gross Private Domestic Investment (I)

+ 3. Government (G)

+ 4. Exports (X)

- 5. Imports (M)

= GDP

 

C = durables, nondurables and services

I = equipment, structures, changes in inventories

G = defense/nondefense spending

X = foreign purchases of U.S. products

M= U.S. purchases of foreign products

(C) 6987.0

+ (I) 1586.0

+ (G) 1858.0

+ (X) 1034.2

- (M) 1383.1

GDP=$10,0082.2

 

 

Here's an example of how you can use GDP in your presentation.

"During the third quarter, automobile production accounted for about 1 percentage point of the growth rate of GDP." (Then insert a chart comparing real GDP against real GDP less autos over 10-12 quarters.)

What is Industrial Production?

Industrial productions equals the production of goods.

This indicator is very useful because it is a more timely indicator of economic growth than GDP.

The data are published monthly by the Federal Reserve Board.

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Demand Data

Retail Sales

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

Business Investment(a.k.a. Non-Residential Fixed Investment)—two components:

    Structures

    Equipment and software

What is Retail Sales?

Retail sales equals the amount spent on retail products and food services.

This indicator is very useful because it may indicate changes in the state of the economy prior to changes in production.

The data are published monthly by the Bureau of the Census.

What is Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (RCPE)?

RCPE equals consumer spending.

This indicator is very useful because it may indicate changes in the state of the economy prior to changes in production.

The data are published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

What is Business Investment (Nonresidential Fixed Investment)?

Business Investment equals the amount of money businesses spend on structures, equipment and software.

This indicator is very useful because it may indicate potentials to increase production.

The data are published quarterly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

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Employment Data

Non-Farm Payroll Employment (a.k.a. the "establishment survey")

Unemployment Rate

What is Non-Farm Payroll Employment (establishment survey)?

Non-Farm Payroll Employment is based on the number of employees on firms' payrolls. Farms are excluded because of their seasonal nature, which can skew total employment figures.

The data are published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

What is the Unemployment Rate?

U Rate = Employed
Labor Force
The unemployed are defined as people who currently do not have a job but are actively looking for work. The Labor Force is defined as the sum of the employed and the unemployed.

The Unemployment Rate may:

rise because—someone either loses a job or enters the workforce and starts looking for a job.

fall because—someone either finds a job or drops out of the labor force (stops looking actively for work.)

The data are published weekly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is based on the household survey.

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Foreign Sector Data

Exports of Goods and Services

    Growth of exports depends on growth in foreign economies

    Monthly

    Very volatile, look at overall trends

    produced by the Bureau of the Census

Imports of Goods and Services

    Growth of imports depends on the strength of the U.S. economy

    Monthly

    Very volatile, look at overall trends

    produced by the Bureau of the Census

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Financial Markets Data

Yield on Corporate bonds

    yields may rise in recessions, as bonds become riskier

    yield spread generally rises in recessions

    Aaa relative to Baa rated bonds

Yield on Treasury Securities

    short-term yields may deviate sharply from the fed funds rate

    reflect inflation expectations

    reflect growth prospects

    reflect interest rate expectations

Treasury Yield curve

    also referred to as the term structure of interest rates

    yields on Treasury bonds with differing maturities

    yield curve typically is upward sloping

    Expectations Hypothesis

    reflects expected rise in interest rates (inflation)

    Liquidity Premium

    reflects increased risk of holding long-term securities

    inverted yield curve may indicate expected fall in short-term rates in the future

    inverted yield curve may signal a recession

Stock market Indexes

    S&P 500, Dow, NYSE and NASDAQ

    may indicate overall strength of the corporate sector or irrational behavior

    may precipitate financial crisis

    wealth effects

Trade-weighted exchange rate

    measures overall strength or weakness of the dollar relative to a group of currencies

    use indexes produces by the Board of Governors

    Major currency and Broad currency

    nominal and real

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Interest Rate Sensitive Data

Housing Starts and Sales

    New Home Sales (Single Family)

    Monthly

    Produced by Bureau of the Census

    Sales of Existing Homes

    Produced by National Association of Realtors

    Monthly

    Housing Starts

    Monthly

    Produced by Bureau of the Census

    Permits Issued

    Monthly

    Produced by Bureau of the Census

Spending on Durable Goods

    Personal consumption expenditure series

    monthly

    Produced by Bureau of Economic Analysis

    Retail sales series

    monthly

    Produced by Bureau of Economic Analysis

Motor Vehicle Sales

    Retail auto sales

    monthly

    Produced by Bureau of Economic Analysis

    Personal consumption expenditures on durable goods (motor vehicles and parts)

    quarterly, part of GDP

    Produced by Bureau of Economic Analysis

Bank Lending

    Commercial and Industrial Loans

    monthly

    Produced by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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Inflationary Pressures Data

Monetary Aggregates

    May indicate future inflation

    inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon

    May indicate weakening economic conditions

    Weekly

    Produced by the Federal Reserve Board

Monetary Base

    Components
    + Currency in circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. Treasury
    + Deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks

M1

    Components
    + Currency in circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks, the U.S. Treasury and the vaults of depository institutions
    + travelers checks
    + demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial institutions, except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository institutions.
    - cash items in process of collection and Federal Reserve float

M2

    Components
    + M1
    + savings deposits, including money market deposit accounts
    + small denomination time deposits (<$100,000) issued by financial institutions
    + shares in retail money market mutual funds (initial investment <$50,000) net of retirement accounts

M3

    Components
    + M2
    + large denomination time deposits (>$100,000) issued by financial institutions
    + repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions
    + Euro dollar deposits held by U.S. nonbank residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada.
    + institutional money market mutual funds (initial investment >$50,000)

Employment Cost Index

    total compensation (includes wages/salaries and benefits)

    may indicate cost pressures (link to NAIRU)

    may reflect productivity

    quarterly

    Produced by Bureau of Labor Statistics

Hourly Earnings

    earnings of workers in private non-farm sector

    monthly, from the establishment survey

    Produced by Bureau of Labor Statistics

University of Michigan Survey Research Center

    Survey of consumers' inflation expectations

    Expected Change in Prices During the Next 12 Months

    monthly

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

    Survey of Professional Forecasters inflation expectations

    inflation expectations over each of the next 4 quarters

    long-term inflation forecast (10-year average)

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Economic Growth Data

Productivity

    Output per hour of all persons

    May indicate changes in growth rate of potential output and NAIRU

    May be used in conjunction with employment cost measures to assess inflationary pressures

    Quarterly

    Produced by Bureau of Labor Statistics

Inventories

    Inventory buildup may reflect slowdown in demand

    Inventory down-sizing generally occurs in recessions

    Change in private inventories

    quarterly, part of GDP data

    Produced by Bureau of Economic Analysis

    Inventories and Inventory/Sales Ratios

    Total monthly, nominal dollars
    —monthly, nominal dollars
    —Bureau of the Census

    Manufacturing and Trade
    —total and by industry
    —monthly, real dollars
    —Bureau of Economic Analysis

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Federal Funds Rate Data (FOMC Policy)

Market Expectations of FOMC Policy: Federal Funds Futures Contracts

    The table below shows the closing prices for four federal funds rate futures contracts, as of Jan. 18, 2006—two weeks prior to the FOMC meeting of Jan. 31. The average expected funds rate for the month of the contract can be found by simply subtracting the closing price from 100. These expectations show, for instance, that the expected funds rate in February was 4.49 percent, while the expectation for April (following the scheduled FOMC meeting of March 28) stood at 4.635 percent.

Fed Funds Contracts Traded on Jan. 18, 2006
Date
Closing price
Expected fed funds rate
Probability of 25 basis point rise
Probability of 50 basis point rise

February

March

April

May

95.510

95.480

95.365

95.330

4.490%

4.520%

4.635%

4.670%

96%

108%

154%

168%

48%

54%

77%

84%

These expectations can also be expressed in terms of probabilities. Assuming that all funds rate changes will be in increments of 25 basis points, probabilities can be found as:

Probability of 25 basis point rise = (expected rate - current rate)/0.25
Probability of 50 basis point rise = (expected rate - current rate)/0.50

Expectations as of Jan. 18, therefore, suggested a 96 percent probability that the funds rate would increase from 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent for the month of February. For April, we can see that the probability of a 50 basis point increase (to 4.75 percent) at the March 28 meeting was approximately 77 percent.

The second table shows federal funds futures prices on the day after the FOMC meeting of Jan. 31, 2006. Continuing to compare expectations to the 4.25 percent funds rate target prior to the meeting, we can see that the probability of a 4.5 percent rate for February had risen to 100 percent. The expectation for April (4.715 percent ) suggests a 93 percent probability that the FOMC will raise the federal funds rate target again at its meeting on March 28.

Fed Funds Contracts Traded on Feb. 1, 2006
Date
Closing price
Expected fed funds rate
Probability of 25 basis point rise
Probability of 50 basis point rise

February

March

April

May

95.500

95.460

95.285

95.205

4.500%

4.540%

4.715%

4.795%

100%

116%

186%

218%

50%

58%

93%

109%


Web sites for Data

Federal Reserve Economic Data II (FRED®)

    best source of data on the U.S. Economy

    files can easily be downloaded into a spreadsheet for creating graphs

    some charts are available

FreeLunch.com

    major data series on the U.S. Economy

    some charts available

    registration is required is free

the short run

    major data series on the U.S. Economy

    2-year, 5-year and 10-year charts are available

    all data are from FRED

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    capacity utilization, industrial production, interest rates, monetary aggregates

Bureau of the Census

    retail sales, monthly exports and imports

Bureau of Economic Analysis

    GDP and its components

Bureau of Labor Statistics

    employment, unemployment, consumer price index, producer price index

Economic Calendar

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Data Series
Financial Markets (coming soon) Foreign Sector Indicators of Demand
Inflation Expectations Inflation Measures Interest Rate Sensitive Factors (coming soon)
Labor Market (coming soon) Monetary Aggregates (coming soon) Output Measures (coming soon)


Foreign Sector

Data Series: Exports of Goods and Services


Definition: Measures U.S. shipments of goods and services to foreign countries.
Details:

  • Includes industry-level data and exports by country of destination.
  • Data are very volatile, look at overall trends.
Frequency: Monthly. Data are released around six weeks after the end of the reporting month. (For example, October data would be published around the middle of December.)
Publisher: Bureau of the Census.

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED® (Goods and services are listed separately.)

 

Data Series: Imports of Goods and Services


Definition: Measures shipments of goods and services received by the United States from foreign countries.
Details:

  • Includes industry-level data and imports by country of origination.
  • Data are very volatile, look at overall trends.
Frequency: Monthly. Data released around six weeks after the end of the reporting month. (For example, October data would be released around the middle of December.)
Publisher: Bureau of the Census.

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED® (Goods and services are listed separately.)

 

Data Series: Goods and Services Trade Balance


Definition: Balance = Exports - Imports (balance equals exports minus imports)
Details:

  • Includes industry level data and exports by country of destination.
Frequency: Monthly. Data released around six weeks after the end of the reporting month. (For example, October data would be released around the middle of December.)
Publisher: Bureau of the Census.

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Current Account Balance (CAB)


Definition: Measures the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income and net unilateral current transfers.
Details:

  • Trade in goods and services is discussed above in "Exports of Goods and Services" and "Imports of Goods and Services."
  • Balance on income is income receipts minus income payments.
    • Income receipts include earnings on U.S.-owned foreign assets (direct investment abroad, U.S. holdings of foreign stocks and bonds, etc.) and the compensation of U.S. workers abroad.
    • Income payments include receipts on foreign-owned U.S. assets (direct investment in the U.S., foreign holdings of U.S. stocks, bonds and government securities) and the compensation of foreign workers in the United States.
  • Net current transfers include government transfers such as foreign aid.
  • Most frequently used measure is the current account balance as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP).
  • A current account surplus means that U.S. domestic saving is greater than investment in the United States.
  • A current account deficit means that U.S. Domestic saving is less than investment in the Untied States.
  • For a discussion of the U.S. current account deficit see: Donald L. Kohn, "The U.S. Current Account Deficit," Remarks at the 12th Frankfurt European Banking Congress, Frankfurt, Germany, Nov. 22, 2002.

Frequency: Quarterly. Data are released the day following the end of the reporting period.
Publisher: Bureau of the Census.

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Major Currency Exchange Rate Index


Definition: Weighted average of the foreign exchange values of the U.S. dollar against seven major currencies.

Details:·

  • Currencies in the index are the:
    • Australian dollar
    • Canadian dollar
    • euro
    • Japanese yen
    • Swedish krona,
    • Swiss franc and
    • British pound.
  • The weights given to each currency are based on:

    1) U.S. exports to each country whose currency is in the index;

    2)U.S. imports from each country whose currency is in the index and

    3) a measure of competition between the United States and each country whose currency is in the index in the markets of the other countries. For more detail see: Michael P. Leahy, "New Summary Measures of the Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar," Federal Reserve Bulletin, Oct. 1998, pp. 811-818.

  • Nominal and real major currency indexes are calculated. The real index weights each exchange rate by the ratio of the U.S. and foreign consumer price indexes.
  • The index is set at 100 in March of 1973.
  • A rise in the index indicates an appreciation of the dollar against the other major currencies.
  • A fall in the index indicates a depreciation of the dollar against the other major currencies.
Frequency: Daily. Data are released the following day.
Publisher: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Broad Currency Exchange Rate Index


Definition: The weighted average of the foreign exchange values of the U.S. Dollar against 26 other currencies.

Details: Currencies in the index include the:

    • Argentinean peso
    • Australian dollar
    • Brazilian real
    • Canadian dollar
    • Chilean peso
    • Chinese yuan
    • Colombian peso
    • euro
    • Hong Kong dollar
    • Indian rupee
    • Indonesian rupiah
    • Israel shekel
    • Japanese yen
    • Korean won
    • Malaysian ringgit
    • Mexican peso
    • Philippine peso
    • Russian ruble
    • Saudi Arabian riyal
    • ·Singapore dollar
    • Swedish krona
    • Swiss franc
    • Taiwan dollar
    • Thai baht
    • Venezuelan bolivare and
    • British pound

  • The weights given to each currency are based on:
    1. U.S. Exports to each country whose currency is in the index;
    2. U.S. Imports from each country whose currency is in the index and
    3. a measure of competition between the United States and each country whose currency is in the index in the markets of the other countries. For more detail see: Michael P. Leahy, "New Summary Measures of the Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar," Federal Reserve Bulletin, October 1998, pp. 811-818.
  • Nominal and real major currency indexes are calculated. The real index weights each exchange rate by the ratio of the U.S. And foreign consumer price indexes.
  • The index is set at 100 in January of 1997.
  • A rise in the index indicates an appreciation of the dollar against the other major currencies.
  • A fall in the index indicates a depreciation of the dollar against the other major currencies.
Frequency: Daily. Data are released the following day.
Publisher: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Bilateral Exchange Rates


Definition: Measures the exchange value of the U.S. Dollar relative to another currency.
Details:

  • Most exchange rates are given as currency units per U.S. Dollar This is the foreign currency price of a dollar (i.e., how many units of a foreign currency it takes to buy one dollar).
    • A rise in the exchange rate indicates an appreciation of the dollar.
    • A fall in the exchange rate indicates a depreciation of the dollar.
  • Some exchange rates are given as U.S. Dollars per foreign currency. This is the dollar price of a foreign currency (i.e., how many dollars does it take to buy one unit of the foreign currency).
    • A rise in the exchange rate indicates a depreciation of the dollar.
    • A fall in the exchange rate indicates an appreciation of the dollar.
Frequency: Daily. Data released the following day.
Publisher: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

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Indicators of Demand

Data Series: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services (Retail Sales)


Definition: Measures the sales of retail and food-service companies that sell their final products to consumers.
Details:

  • The survey is based on about 5000 firms.
  • Small and medium-sized firms participate for two-years, then they are replaced.
  • About 1,300 large firms are always in the sample.
  • Industry-level detail also is available.
  • Data are used as an early indicator of consumer behavior.
  • Because auto sales are more volatile, this indicator excludes motor vehicles and the parts often used to repair vehicles.
  • Data do not include spending on service.
Frequency:
Monthly. Initial data, which are advance estimates, are released around the 10th of the month after the reporting period. Preliminary data are released two months after the reporting period, and revised data are released three months later. (For example, initial data for October are released around Nov. 10, preliminary data released around Dec. 10 and revised data released around Jan. 10.) Data also are revised annually based on results from the Annual Retail Trade Survey.
Publisher: Bureau of the Census.

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services Excluding Motor Vehicles and Parts (Retail Sales Excluding Motor Vehicles and Parts)


Definition: Measures the sales of retail and food-service companies excluding motor vehicle and parts companies that sell their final products to consumers.
Details:

  • This index removes the most volatile component of the retail-sales series.
Frequency:
Monthly. Initial data, which are advance estimates, are released around the 10th of the month after the reporting period. Preliminary data are released two months after the reporting period, and revised data are released three months later. (For example, initial data for October are released around Nov. 10, preliminary data released around Dec. 10 and revised data released around Jan. 10)
Publisher: Bureau of the Census

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? Bureau of the Census

 

Data Series: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)


Definition: Measures the expenditures of individuals on goods and services.
Details:

  • Both nominal and real (chained 2000 dollars) data are available.
  • Real data—rather than nominal data—is the indicator most often used.
  • Includes data on durable goods, nondurables goods and services.
  • Since consumption expenditures are the largest part of GDP, changes in personal consumption expenditures are useful indicators of future changes in GDP.
Frequency:
Monthly. Data are released around the end of the month after the end of the reporting period. (For example, October data are released around the end of November.) Data are frequently revised.
Publisher: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Nonresidential Fixed Investment (Business Investment)


Definition: Measures the expenditures of businesses on structures, equipment and software.
Details:

  • This indicator is part of the GDP data release.
  • Both nominal and real (chained 2000 dollars) are available.
  • Real—rather than nominal—data is the indicator most often used.
  • This indicator includes data on structures along with equipment and software.
Frequency:
Quarterly. Advance data are released at the end of the month following the end of the quarter. Preliminary data are released at the end of the month. Final data are released at the end of the third month. (For example, in the quarter ending in March, advance data are released at the end of April, preliminary data released at the end of May and final data released at the end of June.)
Publisher: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

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Inflation Expectations

Data Series: Survey of Consumers' Inflation Expectations (University of Michigan)


Definition: The median expected change in prices over the next 12 months.
Details: Part of the Michigan Survey of Consumers
Frequency: Monthly.
Publisher: University of Michigan Survey Research Center

Latest Press Release (Choose Public Access, enter your name and e-mail address, then choose Latest Data>Press Release)

 

 

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Inflation Measures

Data Series: Consumer Price Index (CPI)


Definition: An index that measures the average change over time in the prices of a basket of goods and services bought by a typical urban household.
Details: · The CPI only includes expenditures that consumers pay directly. For example, it does not include things such as employer-paid health-care premiums or government health-care payments.

  • Main categories covered:
    • food and beverages
    • housing
    • apparel
    • transportation
    • medical care
    • recreation
    • education and communication
    • other goods and services
  • This is the most widely cited measure of inflation but has been replaced by the PCE price index as the inflation forecast used by the FOMC.
  • Weighting scheme = fixed weights. The current basket is based on a survey of urban consumers' purchases from 2001-2002.
Frequency: Monthly. Data usually are published the third week of the month after the reporting period. (For example, the CPI for October would be reported the third week of November.)
Publisher: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy (Core CPI)


Definition: An index that measures the average change over time in the prices of a basket of goods and services bought by a typical urban household excluding food and energy.

Details:· This measure excludes the two most volatile components of the CPI:

  • food and
  • energy.
Frequency: Monthly. Data usually are published the third week of the month after the reporting period. (For example, data for the month of October would be reported the third week of November.)
Publisher: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Standards

Latest Press Release

Where Can I Get Historical Data? FRED®

 

Data Series: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index


Definition: An index that measures the average change over time in the prices of a basket of goods and services bought by a typical consumer.
Details: Weighting scheme = chain weights. Each year's basket is based on expenditures from the previous year.

Frequency: Monthly. Data are reported at the end of the next month or the beginning of the following month. (For example, the CPE for October would be reported either at the end of November or the beginning of December.)
Publisher: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Latest Press Release

 

 

Data Series: GDP Deflator


Definition: An index that measures the average change over time in prices of all goods and services produced by the domestic economy.
Details: Weighting scheme = chain weights. Each year's basket is based on expenditures from the previous year.
Frequency: Quarterly. Advance data are released at the end of the next month after the quarter end. Preliminary data released at the end of the following month. Final data released the end of the next month. (For example, for the quarter ending in March, advance data are released at the end of April, preliminary data released at the end of May and final data released at the end of June.
Publisher: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Latest Press Release

 

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